Boosting U.S. Manufacturing Spurs Construction Boom

The push to enhance U.S. manufacturing, especially for semiconductors and clean energy technology, has spurred a construction boom, the latest CommercialEdge report notes.

This boom is driven by manufacturers aiming to strengthen supply chains and reduce outsourcing, supported by two key laws; The CHIPS and Science Act offers tax credits for domestic semiconductor production, while the Inflation Reduction Act funds and incentivizes U.S.-made clean energy technology. Manufacturing construction spending reached $233 billion in April 2024, more than doubling in two years, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. CommercialEdge data shows manufacturing comprises over 30 percent of space underway (124.8 million square feet).

Despite the construction surge, job growth in manufacturing has not followed suit. Employment has been stagnant for 18 months, only 1.4 percent higher than in February 2020. This is partly due to long facility delivery times.

While manufacturing will drive industrial real estate activity, its full impact will take years to materialize. The tariffs will increase consumer prices but benefit the industrial sector. Once projects are completed, manufacturing employment is expected to rise, and additional firms will emerge.

READ ALSO: How Will the Manufacturing Investment Boom Impact Industrial CRE?

The under-construction pipeline featured 401.6 million square feet of industrial space at the end of April, accounting for 2.0 percent of total stock, CommercialEdge data shows. New industrial projects are starting at a slower pace in 2024, with only 49.2 million square feet initiated by April.

The largest pipelines on a percentage of stock basis were found in Phoenix (10.8 percent, 41.8 million square feet underway), Kansas City, Miss. (4.6 percent, 13.3 million square feet), Memphis, Tenn. (3.4 percent, 10 million square feet), Charlotte, N.C. (3.3 percent, 10.5 million square feet) and Denver (2.9 percent, 7.7 million square feet). Meanwhile, industrial sales year-to-date in April totaled $15 billion, with properties trading at an average of $146 per square feet.

Industrial vacancy returns to normalized level

After spending a month in second place, the Inland Empire has regained the top spot for the highest rate of in-place rent growth, with rates rising 12.5 percent over the past 12 months. Miami ranked as the second-fastest-growing market with a 12.0 percent rent increase, followed by Los Angeles (11.2 percent), Orange County (9.4 percent) and New Jersey (8.9 percent).

At the same time, rent growth was lowest in Detroit, with a 3.0 percent increase over the past 12 months, followed by St. Louis (3.5 percent), Kansas City. Miss. (3.6 percent) and Denver (4.1 percent).

National industrial vacancy stood at 5.2 percent in April, unchanged from the previous month. Over the past year, industrial vacancies have largely returned to normal levels, following a period of exceptional tightness since the pandemic. Vacancy was lowest in Columbus (2.7 percent), Kansas City, Miss. (3.0 percent), Nashville, Tenn. (3.6 percent) and Charlotte (3.8 percent).

Read the full CommercialEdge report.

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